Article-Journal

HIV transmission and source–sink dynamics in sub-Saharan Africa

{ extless}h2{ extgreater}Summary{ extless}/h2{ extgreater}{ extless}p{ extgreater}Multiple phylogenetic studies of HIV in sub-Saharan …

Justin T. Okano, Katie Sharp, Eugenio Valdano, Laurence Palk, Sally Blower

Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study

Background

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic has spread from China to 25 countries. Local cycles of transmission …

Marius Gilbert, Giulia Pullano, Francesco Pinotti, Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Eric D'Ortenzio, Yazdan Yazdanpanah, Serge Paul Eholie, Mathias Altmann, Bernardo Gutierrez, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Vittoria Colizza

Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against importations of COVID-19: a modelling study

Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to …

Giulia Pullano, Francesco Pinotti, Eugenio Valdano, Pierre-Yves Boëlle, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza

Universal Testing and Treatment for HIV Infection in Botswana

Eugenio Valdano, Sally Blower

Exact Rank Reduction of Network Models

With the advent of the big data era, generative models of complex networks are becoming elusive from direct computational simulation. …

Eugenio Valdano, Alex Arenas

Farm productive contexts and the dynamics of bovine viral diarrhea (BVD) transmission

Bovine viral diarrhea (BVD) is a viral disease that affects cattle and that is endemic to many European countries. It has a markedly …

Bryan Iotti, Eugenio Valdano, Lara Savini, Luca Candeloro, Armando Giovannini, Sergio Rosati, Vittoria Colizza, Mario Giacobini

Endemicity and prevalence of multipartite viruses under heterogeneous between-host transmission

Multipartite viruses replicate through a puzzling evolutionary strategy. Their genome is segmented into two or more parts, and …

Eugenio Valdano, Susanna Manrubia, Sergio Gómez, Alex Arenas

Disease persistence on temporal contact networks accounting for heterogeneous infectious periods

The infectious period of a transmissible disease is a key factor for disease spread and persistence. Epidemic models on networks …

Alexandre Darbon, Davide Colombi, Eugenio Valdano, Lara Savini, Armando Giovannini, Vittoria Colizza

Network-based assessment of the vulnerability of Italian regions to bovine brucellosis

The endemic circulation of bovine brucellosis in cattle herds has a markedly negative impact on economy, due to decreased fertility, …

Alexandre Darbon, Eugenio Valdano, Chiara Poletto, Armando Giovannini, Lara Savini, Luca Candeloro, Vittoria Colizza

Epidemic Threshold in Continuous-Time Evolving Networks

Current understanding of the critical outbreak condition on temporal networks relies on approximations (time scale separation, …

Eugenio Valdano, Michele Re Fiorentin, Chiara Poletto, Vittoria Colizza